Press Release October 1st, 2025

Manokwari, October 1, 2025 – BPS – Statistics Papua Barat Province released the latest economic indicators covering inflation, farmers’ terms of trade, trade balance, as well as developments in tourism and air transportation in Papua Barat and Papua Barat Daya.

year-on-year (y-on-y) inflation rate of 1.02 percent in September 2025, with a Consumer Price Index (CPI) of 108.51. The inflation was driven by increases in almost all expenditure groups, particularly personal care and other services (4.99 percent), food and beverage-serving services (4.07 percent), education (2.80 percent), and recreation, sports, and culture (2.50 percent). Two expenditure groups experienced a decline in their indices, namely household equipment and routine maintenance (-1.15 percent) and transportation (-1.57 percent). Month-to-month (m-to-m) inflation in West Papua stood at 0.97 percent, while the year-to-date (y-to-d) inflation rate reached 0.53 percent.

Papua Barat Daya Province experienced a y-on-y inflation rate of 1.30 percent with a CPI of 107.04 in September 2025. The highest inflation was recorded in South Sorong Regency at 2.49 percent, while the lowest was in Sorong City at 0.83 percent. Most expenditure groups posted increases, led by personal care and other services (4.26 percent) and food and beverage-serving services (2.84 percent). Meanwhile, decreases occurred in the clothing and footwear group (-0.35 percent) and the information, communication, and financial services group (-0.83 percent). On a monthly basis, Southwest Papua experienced m-to-m deflation of 0.11 percent and recorded a y-to-d inflation rate of 1.60 percent.

Farmers’ Terms of Trade: Decline in Papua Barat, Improvement in Papua Barat Daya

The Farmers’ Terms of Trade (NTP) in Papua Barat in September 2025 stood at 100.32, declining by 0.61 percent compared to August 2025. The decrease was attributed to a 0.59 percent drop in the price index received by farmers (It), while the price index paid by farmers (Ib) increased slightly by 0.01 percent. Consistent with this, the Agricultural Business Exchange Rate (NTUP) of Papua Barat also fell by 0.60 percent, from 106.64 in August to 106.00 in September 2025. Meanwhile, the Household Consumption Index (IKRT) in Papua Barat reached 119.59, showing a marginal increase of 0.02 percent.

By contrast, the NTP of Papua Barat Daya reached 106.85, marking a notable increase of 5.62 percent compared to the previous month. This improvement was driven by a 5.84 percent rise in the price index received by farmers (It), whereas the price index paid by farmers (Ib) grew only modestly by 0.21 percent. The NTUP of Papua Barat Daya also increased by 5.81 percent to 113.97 in September 2025, while its Household Consumption Index (IKRT) rose by 0.27 percent. Commenting on this development, Merry explained, “The decline in NTP in Papua Barat reflects pressures on farmers’ purchasing power, while Papua Barat Daya recorded a significant improvement, primarily due to higher commodity prices received by farmers.”

Trade Balance: Surpluses Maintained in Both Provinces

Both provinces continued to record trade surpluses. Papua Barat registered a surplus of US$224.21 million in August 2025, although this marked a 20.42 percent decline compared to July 2025. The surplus was largely driven by oil and gas (US$219.22 million) and non-oil and gas exports (US$4.99 million). Mineral Fuels (HS27) were the dominant export commodity with a value of US$219.22 million. China remained the primary export destination with US$101.62 million or 45.32 percent of total exports. During the reporting period, no imports were recorded through the Goods Import Notification (PIB) system.

Meanwhile, Papua Barat Daya reported a trade surplus of US$0.36 million in August 2025, a 15.01 percent decrease compared to the previous month. The surplus was supported by non-oil and gas exports valued at US$1.19 million, with Fish and Shrimp (HS03) as the leading commodity, contributing US$0.86 million. China was also the main export destination for Papua Barat Daya, with a value of US$0.38 million or 32.39 percent. Similar to Papua Barat, there were no PIB-recorded imports in Papua Barat Daya during the period. Merry emphasized, “Papua Barat’s trade surplus remains highly dependent on oil and gas, while Papua Barat Daya’s surplus is supported by non-oil and gas fisheries commodities. Both provinces maintain positive performance, though at lower levels compared to the previous month.”

Tourism: Decline in Domestic Travel, Increase in Hotel Occupancy

In the tourism sector, the number of domestic tourist trips in August 2025 was recorded at 138.42 thousand in Papua Barat, representing a 10.39 percent decline compared to July 2025. In Papua Barat Daya, domestic tourist trips totaled 271.75 thousand, falling by 4.25 percent over the same period. In contrast, hotel occupancy rates showed improvement. The Occupancy Rate of Classified Hotels (TPK) in Papua Barat stood at 32.56 percent, up 3.18 percentage points, while Papua Barat Daya recorded 42.40 percent, an increase of 0.80 points. At the regional Sulampua level, Papua Barat Daya ranked seventh in hotel occupancy, while Papua Barat ranked eleventh.

Air Transportation: Decline in Passenger Numbers and Flight Frequencies

Air transportation activity showed a downward trend in both provinces. In August 2025, the number of air passengers in Papua Barat was 44,654, a 10.90 percent decline compared to July 2025. The largest drop occurred at Rendani Airport, Manokwari, with a decline of 14.66 percent. In Papua Barat Daya, passenger numbers reached 113,303, down 2.41 percent, mainly due to a 2.45 percent decrease at Domine Eduard Osok Airport, Sorong City. In terms of flight frequency, Papua Barat recorded 1,059 flights, a reduction of 8.79 percent, while Papua Barat Daya logged 1,323 flights, down 3.57 percent.

Concluding her statement, Merry highlighted, “Overall, the economic indicators of Papua Barat and Papua Barat Daya reflect diverse dynamics. Inflation and farmers’ terms of trade moved in opposite directions, trade balances remained in surplus, while tourism and air transportation demonstrated mixed trends. These data are expected to provide essential inputs for policymakers in both provinces.”

Media Contact

Destrianto Mursalin

BPS – Statistics Papua Barat Province

[email protected]